I’m about to show you a chart that should terrify every investor in America.
It’s a signal that’s only appeared once before in history. The last time was 1999. Right before the dot-com crash vaporized $5 trillion in wealth.
And it just triggered again. For the first time in 25 years.
Wall Street doesn’t want you to see this. The financial media won’t report it. Your broker certainly won’t mention it.
But I have a duty to tell you the truth. Even when it’s uncomfortable. Especially when it’s uncomfortable.
The market is about to crash. And I can prove it.
Editor’s Note: The expert who predicted the 2022 crash just issued what he calls the most urgent warning of his career. He says what comes next is all written down in black and white… It’s gone “viral” in the hedge fund circles… and yet practically nobody on Main Street understands “The Mar-A-Lago Accord.” He lays out all the proof… plus a detailed plan for exactly what to do. (And it doesn’t require shorting… options… or perfectly “timing the market.”) You must see this new warning today. [Full Story…]
The Nobel Prize-Winning Indicator That Never Lies
Let me introduce you to something called the CAPE ratio. It was created by Robert Shiller, who won the Nobel Prize in Economics. Not some newsletter writer. Not some TV pundit. A Nobel laureate.
The CAPE ratio measures how expensive the entire stock market is by looking at average earnings over 10 years, adjusted for inflation. It smooths out the noise. Cuts through the BS. Shows you what’s really happening.
Related: 2 Nobel Prize winners warn of once-in-a-generation wealth shift…
Right now, the S&P 500’s CAPE ratio is 39.5.
Let that sink in. 39.5.
In the entire 826-month history of the S&P 500, the CAPE ratio has only been above 39 for 22 months. That’s less than 3% of the time.
And here’s the terrifying part: Every single time – EVERY TIME – it’s been this high, the market has crashed within three years.
No exceptions. No “this time is different.” No miraculous saves.
The Brutal Math Wall Street Won’t Show You
I’ve got the data right here. And it’s going to make you sick.
Editor’s Note: The America you knew is dying in front of you… Here’s your financial lifeline [Full Story…]
When the CAPE ratio exceeds 39, here’s what happens next:
One Year Later:
- Best case: Up 16%
- Worst case: Down 28%
- Average: Down 4%
Two Years Later:
- Best case: Up 8%
- Worst case: Down 43%
- Average: Down 20%
Three Years Later:
- Best case: Down 10%
- Worst case: Down 43%
- Average: Down 30%
Read that last line again. The BEST CASE SCENARIO over three years is losing 10% of your money. The average? Down 30%.
This isn’t speculation. This isn’t my opinion. This is cold, hard historical fact.
The 1999 Parallel That Should Terrify You
The last time the CAPE ratio hit these levels was early 1999. For 22 months, it stayed above 39 while the dot-com bubble inflated to insane proportions.
Everyone thought they were geniuses. Day traders were quitting their jobs. Taxi drivers were giving stock tips. Your neighbor was getting rich on Pets.com.
Then, in late 2000, reality hit. The Nasdaq crashed 78%. The S&P 500 fell 49%. Trillions of dollars vanished. Retirements were destroyed. Lives were ruined.
And here’s what nobody wants to admit: We’re in the exact same position today.
Actually, it’s worse.
Why This Time The Crash Will Be Even More Devastating
In 1999, at least the internet revolution was real. Companies like Amazon and Google survived and thrived.
Editor’s Note: Bill Gates sold 500,000 shares of Microsoft. Jeff Bezos filed to sell Amazon shares worth $4.8 billion. Warren Buffett just liquidated billions of shares. What is going on? It’s something we haven’t seen for more than a century… [Full Story]
Today? We’re in an AI bubble that makes the dot-com bubble look rational.
Companies with no revenue are worth billions because they have “AI” in their name. The “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks account for 30% of the S&P 500’s entire value. The concentration of wealth has never been more extreme.
And here’s the kicker: The Trump administration just imposed severe tariffs that are about to crush corporate earnings. Inflation is reigniting. The Fed is trapped. They can’t cut rates without fueling inflation. They can’t raise rates without crashing the market.
It’s checkmate. And Wall Street knows it.
The Big Lie Wall Street Is Selling Right Now
“But Tom,” you’re thinking, “Wall Street analysts say the S&P 500 is heading to 7,560. That’s 11% upside!”
Of course they do. They HAVE to say that.
These are the same geniuses who said Bear Stearns was fine at $100 (it went to zero). The same experts who said Lehman Brothers was a buy at $60 (it went bankrupt). The same analysts who rated Enron a “strong buy” weeks before it collapsed.
Wall Street consensus says S&P 500 companies will report 14% earnings growth in 2026?
Give me a break.
With tariffs crushing margins? With consumers tapped out? With commercial real estate imploding? With regional banks failing?
They’re either lying or delusional. Probably both.
The Countdown Has Already Started
Here’s what’s going to happen. And you can take this to the bank.
First, the AI bubble will burst. Probably triggered by one major company missing earnings or admitting their AI investments aren’t paying off. The Magnificent Seven will get cut in half.
Second, the contagion will spread. Small caps will crash. International markets will panic. Credit will freeze.
Third, the Fed will panic and start printing money like crazy. But it won’t work. Not this time. Because the problem isn’t liquidity. It’s valuation. It’s debt. It’s reality finally asserting itself.
By late 2028 – mark my words – the S&P 500 will be 30% lower than it is today. Minimum.
But it could be much, much worse.
What You Must Do Right Now
I’m not telling you this to scare you. I’m telling you this to save you.
You have a choice. You can ignore this warning, like millions ignored the warnings in 1999 and 2007. You can trust Wall Street’s fairy tales about endless growth and permanently high valuations.
Or you can act.
Here’s exactly what I’m doing with my own money:
- Selling all high-multiple tech stocks immediately. If it trades above 30 times earnings, it’s gone.
- Building a massive cash position. Cash isn’t trash when markets crash 30%. It’s king.
- Buying physical gold. Not ETFs. Not mining stocks. Physical gold in my possession.
- Shorting the S&P 500. Through put options with 2027 expirations.
- Preparing for the opportunity of a lifetime. Because after the crash, we’ll see the best buying opportunity since 2009.
The Clock Is Ticking
Editor’s Note: One of the biggest stock market events in 25 years is rapidly unfolding… The economist who predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis says it will be: “The Biggest Crash of Our Lifetime.” Cutting the entire tech market by HALF – virtually overnight. This is why the world’s financial elite are panic-selling stocks at the fastest rate in a decade. [Full Story…]
The CAPE ratio doesn’t lie. It’s been right every single time for nearly a century.
Right now, it’s screaming “DANGER” louder than it has in 25 years.
You can listen. Or you can learn the hard way.
Wall Street wants you to stay fully invested. They need you to keep buying. Their bonuses depend on it. Their Hamptons houses depend on it. Their entire corrupt system depends on it.
But I don’t work for Wall Street. I work for you. And I’m telling you the truth:
The crash is coming. The evidence is overwhelming. And time is running out.
Don’t say I didn’t warn you.
Good investing,
Tom Anderson
Editor, Wall Street Watchdogs
P.S. There’s one more piece of evidence I haven’t shared yet. Corporate insiders are selling at the fastest pace since 2000. The smart money is heading for the exits. Meanwhile, retail investors are buying at record levels. You know how this story ends. The question is: Which side will you be on? The insiders who are selling? Or the suckers who are buying? Choose wisely. Your financial future depends on it.
P.P.S. I’ve prepared a special emergency report called “The 2028 Crash Survival Guide.” It contains five specific trades that could turn a market crash into a fortune. But I can only share it with serious investors who understand the gravity of this situation. If that’s you, click here immediately. This report won’t be available for long.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Options trading involves substantial risk. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
